Showing posts with label gold price. Show all posts
Showing posts with label gold price. Show all posts

IMF Gold Sales Ineffective At Suppresing Price

   There was a time in the gold market that the rumor of a large sale by the IMF would send the price plummeting. But times have changed. The IMF announced that it has been an active seller of gold over the last month, selling 17 metric tons. So far this year the IMF has sold 81 metric tons on market and 212 metric tons in private transactions. The sales have been easily absorbed by the market and more importantly IMF selling have not had its negative psychological impact. The bid in gold has been incredibly strong during the historically weak summer months. However, the bullion banks are still lurking and are defending the $1250-1260 level, trying to prevent gold from making a new nominal high. Gold was able to briefly get above the 1250 level today before falling back to the 1245 level. Hightower in a report released today noted that gold has held up surprisingly well despite potentially negative statements by the PBOC (Chinese Central Bank) which highlighted risks associated with gold investing. Further negative news was lower gold imports by Turkey in August. Overall Comex gold stocks stand at 10.817 million ounces and have declined in 14 of the last 20 days.














Black Swan Insights
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Another takedown of Gold


















 Like clockwork Gold gets hit in the NY session. This pattern is too regular to be just another random occurrence. I am starting to think that a great trade in Gold is to short the futures at around 7:00-8:00 am eastern standard time and cover for a large gain by 10-11. As I have previously discussed, Gold has a routine trading pattern throughout the day that defies belief. It rises in Asia, flattens in Europe, and gets smacked in NY. This happens every day. It may be time to profit from this manipulation.
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Where to buy physical gold?

So you have decided to buy physical gold but don't know where to purchase it. After all there are quite a few crooks operating as gold dealers who charge egregious premiums over spot. Be careful about these dealers--they usually run fancy TV ads to sucker gullible people into paying 40-70% over spot which is a rip off. I have found that APMEX.com is the best place to buy physical gold. They seem to have the best prices and are honest dealers. I have done business with them before and will do business with them again in the future. I recently purchased a 10 oz gold bar from made by the Perth Mint (with a swan as the logo) and had no problems with APMEX.com. The only annoying issue is that they require a signature at the time of delivery (for security reasons). This is very inconvenient considering I work all day and do not have time to sign for the delivery. Other than that this difficulty, APMEX is the best gold dealer I have dealt with. Another good dealer is CMI gold and silver.

Black Swan Insights
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Gold Price Fluctuations Intraday

This is an interesting chart which shows the intraday price of gold throughout the day. You will notice that the price almost always rises during the Asian session then declines sharply during the New York session. Even though this chart only shows the intraday price of gold from 1998-2005 it is still germane. You will see this pattern over and over again (try this for yourself). This is one of the better indications of manipulation that I can find. Or is there some benign reason for this odd occurrence?


Chart from Demetri Speck at seasonalcharts.com

For more information and articles relating to possible gold manipulation please click here

Black Swan Insights
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