Showing posts with label dollar. Show all posts
Showing posts with label dollar. Show all posts

Fed President Bullard Really Wants To Steal Your Money Through Inflation

    Fed President James Bullard said in an interview with the WSJ that he wants more money printing if the US experiences anymore disinflation. Note that he did not use the Keynesian scare word deflation; instead disinflation is perceived as the the new bogeyman. Bullard went on to say that the Fed needs to resume money printing to increase inflation. What surprises me is how open Bullard is about his desire to steal America's purchasing power. There is no hiding the fact that the goal of the Federal Reserve is to create inflation. Its funny: if I put a gun to your head and steal your money, you would be angry, but if a supercilious economist at the Fed reduces the purchasing power of your currency, that is okay. Bullard argues that the US needs to achieve the 2% target for inflation and that money printing is the way to accomplish it:
  Part of the goal here is you are trying to defend the inflation target from the low side. Monetizing debt is widely recognized to be inflationary. It will be both perceived as inflationary and it actually will be. You would push core inflation higher, toward target. Of course you don’t want to overdo this and create a lot of inflation down the line. But we are on the low side of the inflation target at this point so the idea is to move up toward the target.

   If I remember right, the Fed's mandate is full employment and price stability. Having 2% inflation means that prices double every 36 years. Is this price stability? I don't think so. What I don't understand is why no one seems to object to the Fed's intention to destroy the dollar. No economist I have ever talked to has ever been against inflation. They all like the idea of 2-3% inflation because they incorrectly believe that it stimulates spending as people buy stuff before the price goes up. They fear that 0% inflation or (gasp) deflation would cause a depression as people and businesses forgo spending, waiting for lower prices. Of course, this is an absurd notion. The real reason the Fed and the government want inflation is because it reduces the real value of the government's national debt. It it just a coincidence that inflation is usually 3%, and the yearly budget deficit is around 3%, too. Bernanke in his deflation speech, confirmed that the government has a strong incentive to create inflation. It is unfortunate that the American people do not understand this concept. Even Lenin understood this and noted that the:
best way to destroy the capitalist system was to debauch the currency. By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens. By this method they not only confiscate, but they confiscate arbitrarily; and, while the process impoverishes many, it actually enriches some. The sight of this arbitrary rearrangement of riches strikes not only at security but [also] at confidence in the equity of the existing distribution of wealth.
   It is sad that a nefarious character like Lenin had a better understanding of economics than most capitalist economists. Whatever your views about the Fed, you have to admit that they have done a terrific job of reducing the dollar's value by 96% since 1913.  

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How A Mistake By The Supreme Court Allowed Fiat Money In the US

   Here is a very interesting research paper from the Bank of Japan which discusses how the US got off the bi-metallic system and evolved into a purely fiat-money system. The real culprit according to the author is not FDR or Nixon, but the US Supreme Court which failed to properly distinguish between fiscal and monetary policy when deciding the constitutionality of Greenbacks (notes issued by the government to finance the Civil war) and Legal Tender Laws in the 1860's. The Court affirmed the legality based on an incorrect interpretation of the Constitution which allows Congress to borrow money. The Court argued that issuing fiat currency was within the government's power to borrow. These important decisions were vital to destroying America's metallic based monetary system and the purchasing power of the dollar.  The author concludes that "that monetary arrangements in the U.S. have departed sharply from those specified by the Constitution, and that the change has been based in crucial ways on invalid reasoning."

 Here is an excerpt from the article:
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Quantitative Easing Propaganda From the Bank Of England

   I happened to come across the Bank of England's (BOE) website yesterday and saw an interesting article titled "Quantitative Easing: Putting more money into the economy to boost spending." I am always fascinated by how much contempt central banks have for the general public. They talk to us like children in an Orwellian police state. The purpose of the BOE's article is to convince the British public that inflation is a good thing. If the public wants a strong economy they should also want inflation. Of course to the rational person, inflation is a great evil and represents an illegal confiscation of purchasing power. It has ruined the middles class in western economies because wages never keep up with inflation, which results in a decrease in the standard of living. But lets see the Bank of England's propaganda in action:
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Thoughts From Marc Faber--- Aug 1

Legendary investor Marc Faber is out with his monthly report which discusses the US economy, QE 2, equity markets, China's property sector, and the EU debt crisis. Here are a few highlights:

1. Stock market outlook is uncertain. Faber is less confident that markets will fall to 850-900 because of the inevitable money printing (aka QE 2), which will boost asset prices. Possible trading range developing with 1040 as the bottom and 1170 as the top for the S&P 500. Even so he would be reducing equity exposure on any stock market strength.

2. Euro is likely to bounce around erratically between 1.25 and 1.35. Faber hates the dollar and euro but likes undervalued Asian currencies.

3. If you have to buy stocks make it Asian equities and REIT's in Thailand, Singapore, and Malaysia. They have high yields and are attractive compared to 3% 10 year treasuries. Asian economies will continue to grow at a healthy clip even with weakness in the US and Europe, which makes them good investments.

4. China's economy will continue to do grow even if the property market declines sharply. The growing Chinese middle class will support increased domestic consumption. Wages in China have gone up giving hundreds of millions of people increased purchasing power.

5. US municipal debt will likely become a major problem in the future. As of the 1st quarter of 2010 there is an estimated $2.8 trillion in outstanding municipal debt, which can never be repaid and will require a federal bailout. Another issue is state and local government pension plans, which are severely underfunded.

6. Gold is a buy after its seasonal bottom usually in September. Long term trend is up and as long as Bernanke is Fed Chairman, gold will do well.

7. Likes agricultural commodities and related stocks (but says avoid commodity ETF's because of the roll). In particular Faber likes wheat, rice, and soybeans. He also likes the fertilizer and seed stocks.

8. Faber expects rising agricultural prices will lead to civil unrest and violence in some countries.


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Why Gold fell today

One of the more peculiar aspects of today's trading was the large plunge in gold. The yellow metal fell approx $43 to $1200 which seemed curious because the dollar was down against the euro. More importantly gold closed right at its lows for the day which could foreshadow further losses in the days ahead. But the question is why did gold fall so much? From what I have heard from a few commodities traders was that it was due to the surge in the Euro. After the Spanish bond auctions went relatively well investors seemed to interpret it as a positive the Euro and EUR/USD surged about 200 pips. Euro strength was seen against all pairs, even EUR/CHF (which has been in free fall). Traders said the move in the euro caused unwinding of the long gold/short Euro trade which many hedge funds and institutions had put on in recent months (worked pretty well too). This trade had become rather crowded and the large moves caused forced liquidations by some. Is this the real cause? I really don't know but it makes sense to me.

Good Luck

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You can now purchase rhodium directly


Forget gold, silver, platinum, or even palladium. The new investment to be had is rhodium. Rhodium is one of the rarest elements in the world with only 25 tons produced annually. It is used in catalytic converters which help reduce car emissions. Kitco has introduced a product that can be purchased by the general public. It comes in a little bottle that has been certified by Kitco. Buying 1 oz will not be cheap as rhodium is currently trading at $2,580. Rhodium is a volatile commodity judging by its chart, but it could do well in the future thanks to Federal Reserve money printing. Anything is better than holding fiat money.



You can check out the page on kitco at
https://online.kitco.com/bullion/completelist.html

Black Swan Insights

Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor and nothing on this site should be interpreted as investment advice. Please consult with your own financial advisor before investing in the stock market or any financial asset.
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