Showing posts with label weimar republic. Show all posts
Showing posts with label weimar republic. Show all posts

Elite Bankers Preparing for Hyperinflation-Evans-Pritchard

   Ambrose Evans-Pritchard has written a very illuminating article titled "The Death of Paper Money" which discusses how the social fabric of society is destroyed by hyperinflation. He notes that bankers around the world are currently reading a book called Dying of Money: Lessons of the Great German and American Inflations to educate themselves on the mechanics of hyperinflation. Evans-Pritchard goes on to describe some of the conclusions reached in the book as to what sparked hyperinflation in the Weimar Republic:
People’s willingness to hold money can change suddenly for a "psychological and spontaneous reason" , causing a spike in the velocity of money. It can occur at lightning speed, over a few weeks. The shift invariably catches economists by surprise. They wait too long to drain the excess money.
 "Velocity took an almost right-angle turn upward in the summer of 1922," said Mr O Parsson. Reichsbank officials were baffled. They could not fathom why the German people had started to behave differently almost two years after the bank had already boosted the money supply. He contends that public patience snapped abruptly once people lost trust and began to "smell a government rat".
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Surviving Hyperinflation















  
With the recent weakness in the economy, we can now expect the Federal Reserve to reinstate their quantitative easing (money printing) program. Most pundits now expect the Fed to print another $2-3 trillion to prevent deflation at all cost. With this level of money printing, we are likely to enter hyperinflation some time in the future (3-5 years). The deflationists will disagree,  but let's face it: History tells us that large amounts of money printing will eventually lead to hyperinflation (defined as more than 50% a year). But the deflationists will deny this with Japan as an example and claim that money printing does not lead to inflation. My answer to them is pretty simple: Look at all of the countries throughout history that have printed money and see what occurred. Every such country except Japan has experienced high inflation, if not hyperinflation. So knowing that the US will suffer this fate, what can you do to protect yourself?
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