Black Swan Insights

The game of speculation is the most uniformly fascinating game in the world. But it is not a game for the stupid, the mentally lazy, the person of inferior emotional balance, or the get-rich-quick adventurer. They will die poor--Jesse Livermore

Bitcoin Mania--The World's First Global Asset Bubble

Soooooooooooooo it has been a while since I last posted--personal health issues and the death of a loved one was the reason. During the l...

How to Improve My Credit Score

Having a good credit score is essential in order to obtain financing at affordable rates and can save you thousands of dollars in terms of ...

Fed Chair Janet Yellen on monetary policy: "the best way to build credibility was to lie"

Not new to BSI readers, but Janet Yellen the new head of the Fed admits that the best way to build credibility is to lie to the idiot ...

My Advice to Altria Corp on Ecigs and More

As many readers will know, I am a great aficionado of tobacco stocks and believe they have the single best business model of all-time. ...

Don't Believe the Hype: Apple is Not a Cheap Value Stock

A quick blurb about Apple's earnings. Apple reported earnings last night which beat already lowered expectations. Little surprise. Un...

AP's Fake Terror Tweet: The Beginning of For-Profit Terrorism?

Historically, most terrorism was committed for ideological reasons, but now a new form of terrorism may be emerging: for-profit terrorism. ...

MACRO UPDATE: Buy, Sell or Hold?

Well. I am finally back to the blog after a very long and pleasurable hiatus. I am going to begin publishing a weekly survey of the curre...

Buying GLD: A Golden Opportunity For Contrarian Investors

Back from hiatus. As frequent readers will remember, gold remains a core part of my portfolio (since the beginning of QE madness from the ...

Scared To Death: Investment Manager Sentiment Plummets to March 2009 Levels

Considering that the market has done nothing for the last few weeks, except bounce up and down in a very tight range, one would think th...

Quick Update: Closing Sugar Short

All good trades must come to and end as they say. The time has come for my Sugar short. I caught a nice 14% downside move that was pretty mu...

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